Take the Online Poll – Obama and Congress Approval Poll – Vote!

Take part in the New Politisite Political Poll in partnership with 1World Online  – Six questions on your approval or disapproval of President Obama, Congress, Republicans, Democrats, Tea Party and Your Congressman’s job performance.  Vote Here and express your views!

 

Watch the Foreign Policy Presidential Debate Live stream

Tonight Politisite will be streaming the third and final Presidential debate live with a focus on Foreign Policy.

The debate between President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney will begin at 9 p.m. eastern time and 6 p.m. pacific at Lynn University in Baca Raton, Florida.

The moderator will be Bob Schieffer of CBS News. Topics will include, but not limited to:

  • America’s role in the world
  • Our longest war – Afghanistan and Pakistan
  • Red Lines – Israel and Iran
  • The Changing Middle East and the New Face of Terrorism – I
  • The Changing Middle East and the New Face of Terrorism – II
  • The Rise of China and Tomorrow’s World

Comprehensive coverage of the debate can be seen at the following outlets:

Continue reading Watch the Foreign Policy Presidential Debate Live Online

 

Watch the Presidential Town Hall Debate Online

Watch 2012 Presidential Debate Live Online Tonight. A Town Hall with Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Moderator Candy Crowley October 16, 2012 Live from Hofstra University in Hempstead, N.Y 

Hofstra University is hosting DebateWatch events for people to attend on campus. Several web sites will live-stream video of the debates, including the Debate at Hofstra University on October 16th, along with commentary and analysis. These links are provided as a convenience and do not represent any guarantees or endorsements on the part of Hofstra University. via Follow the Debate Online – Debate 2012 – Hofstra University.

This is the mostour comprehensive Guide to watching the Second Presidential Debate online live via smartphone apps or live streaming available anywhere on the Web. Follow the Debate Online – Debate 2012 – Hofstra University – We are sure you will be able to find a feed of the debate that meets your viewing needs.

Politisite

Politisite delivers late Breaking Political News, Debate Coverage, Election Results, Commentary and Analysis. We strive to bring in-depth political coverage with special reports and interactive political coverage.

Iron Mill News

Iron Mill News Service delivers the latest breaking news. We strive to bring in-depth coverage with special reports and interactive journalistic Media.

YouTube

YouTube YouTube will be streaming the debate live on YouTube. You can either use the new YouTube app on your iPhone, or visit YouTube with Safari. The YouTube app is not yet optimized for the iPhone 5 or iPad, so if you’re on one of these devices, you’ll definitely want to use Safari. Free – Download Now

Ustream

On Ustream, PBS will be providing their own live stream of the Presidential Debate on the PBS NewsHour Stream that you can watch on your iPhone or iPad with the free Ustream iPhone and iPad app. On your iPad, you can also choose to watch the live stream in Safari on Ustream’s website — Ustream’s website does not fully support the iPhone, though. This is unfortunate, because just like YouTube, the Ustream app does not support the iPhone 5, yet. So if you’re using an iPhone 5, I do not recommend watching the Presidential Debate on Ustream. Free – Download Now

NPR

Not as interested in watching the Presidential debate as you are hearing it? NPR News will be streaming the audio of the debate to local NPR stations as well as their iPhone and iPad apps. NPR will also include commentary and chat during the debate on their website. Free for iPhone – Download NowFree for iPad – Download NowWatching the debate now? Feel free to leave your personal commentary about it in the comments below!

CNN

America’s Choice 2012: Presidential debatePresident Obama and GOP nominee Mitt Romney face off tonight in a “town hall” debate from the campus of Hofstra University. Watch CNN.com/live for all your election coverage.

C-SPAN

President Obama and Mitt Romney meet tonight for the second of three presidential debates. Tonight’s format is a town hall style debate with undecided voters in the audience asking the questions to the candidates. The 90-minute debate will be moderated by CNN’s Candy Crowley and is taking place at Hofstra University in Hempstead, NY.

via 2012 Presidential and Vice-Presidential Debates | Campaign 2012 | C-SPAN.

Fox News Live – Video – Fox News

Live Coverage of the Presidential Debate with Harris Faulkner and Rick Folbaum. We’ll get reaction from Chris Stirewalt, Brad Blakeman, Doug Schoen, and Lanny Davis. Join the live chat via Fox News Live – Video – Fox News.

Univision – Debate Coverage in Spanish

Segundo Debate Presidencial 2012 via UnivisionNoticias.com – YouTube.

Yahoo News -The Voice of

  1. Explore the IssuesEducate yourself on the 11 most pertinent issues in the 2012 debates and star what’s important to you.
  2. Voice Your ViewTake a stance on the issues and see how you compare to others.
  3. Watch the DebatesSee the debates live and become a more informed voter.

Via Yahoo.com


America Online Line – AOL 

CBS – CBS News UStream Channel

How to Watch Presidential Debates on Your Mobile

YouTube will stream the all three presidential debates, and the vice presidential debate, on its Elections Hub . Commentary before and after the debate at the University of Denver will be hosted on all YouTube election partner channels such as ABC, Al JazeeraEnglish, BuzzFeed, Univision and the Wall Street Journal. via How to Watch Presidential Debates on Your Mobile | TechNewsDaily.com.

Related:

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Hillary Clinton: “I take responsibility” for Benghazi

Photos

Clinton Camp told to portray Obama as foreigner

Clinton Camp told to portray Obama as foreigner

see larger image

uploaded by Albert Milliron

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said the bucks stops with her when it comes to who is blame for a deadly assault on the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi.

“I take responsibility” for what happened on September 11

Read More at  Iron Mill News Service.

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Analysis: Most Accurate polls from 2008 presidential election

2008 Pollster Report Card

The table below is an assessment of pollster performance in the 2008 Presidential election. The pollsters were graded on both the accuracy of their final poll (popular vote) and the consistency of their polling during the month of October.

The overall score is a weighted average of their Accuracy and Consistency numbers. The weighting is 75% accuracy and 25% consistency. Formula details are at the bottom of this page.

Overall
Poll Score Grade Accuracy Consistency
Rasmussen Reports 91% A- 92% 86%
Ipsos/McClatchy 89% B+ 92% 79%
CNN/Opinion Research 88% B+ 92% 77%
Fox News 84% B 92% 61%
Pew 83% B- 92% 56%
GWU/Battleground 79% C+ 92% 41%
Diageo/Hotline 77% C+ 77% 79%
NBC News / Wall St. Journal 76% C 77% 75%
Gallup Traditional 73% C- 77% 63%
Marist 67% D+ 62% 82%
ABC News / Wash Post 67% D+ 62% 82%
IBD/TIPP 66% D 77% 34%
Gallup Expanded 66% D 62% 78%
CBS News / NYT 60% D- 62% 56%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 35% F 31% 48%

Data
The data for this chart come from the Real Clear Politics summary on 12 November 2008. Here is a local mirror of that data, with the final polls summarized at the top. Here is a quick summary of the final spread predicted by the pollsters, ranked from most accurate to least:

Poll Obama McCain Spread (actual=6.5) Off by
Rasmussen Reports 52 46 6 0.5
Pew 52 46 6 0.5
GWU/Battleground 50 44 6 0.5
Ipsos/McClatchy 53 46 7 0.5
CNN/Opinion Research 53 46 7 0.5
Fox News 50 43 7 0.5
Diageo/Hotline 50 45 5 1.5
NBC News / Wall St. Journal 51 43 8 1.5
Gallup Traditional 51 43 8 1.5
IBD/TIPP 52 44 8 1.5
Marist 52 43 9 2.5
ABC News / Wash Post 53 44 9 2.5
Gallup Expanded 52 43 9 2.5
CBS News / NYT 51 42 9 2.5
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 54 43 11 4.5

Formulas
Every final poll showed Obama with a lead, so assessing their accuracy is just a matter of comparing their forecasted spread with the actual spread of the election which was Obama +6.5.

Final poll accuracy score = 100 – ( |(POLL SPREAD – 6.5)| / 6.5 )

All the pollsters graded had more than one poll during the month of October. If a poll reported a wide spread and then suddenly narrowed down right before the election, this formula produces a lower score. Likewise a pollster gets a lower score if they predicted a very tight race until the end and then widened up.

October Consistency = 100 – ( POLL STDEV / POLL AVERAGE )

via 2008 Intrade Vs. Actual Election Results.

The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate?

The Pew Research Center and Rasmussen Reports were the most accurate in predicting the results of the 2008 election, according to a new analysis by Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos.

The Fordham analysis ranks 23 survey research organizations on their final, national pre-election polls, as reported on pollster.com.

On average, the polls slightly overestimated Obama’s strength. The final polls showed the Democratic ahead by an average of 7.52 percentage points — 1.37 percentage points above his current 6.15-point popular vote lead. Seventeen of the 23 surveys overstated Obama’s final victory level, while four underestimated it. Only two — Rasmussen and Pew — were spot on.

Here is the list –

1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**

1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**

3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)

4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)

5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

via The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate? | Texas on the Potomac | a Chron.com blog.

Gauging the Accuracy of Election Polls | Pew Research Center

Although polls have occasionally failed to predict who will win an election (most recently in the 2008 Democratic primary election in New Hampshire), polling’s track record is actually very good. The National Council for Public Polls has conducted analysis of presidential election polling accuracy from 1936 to the present and provides reports summarizing these results on their website.

The good track record of final pre-election polls does not mean that all pre-election polls are reliable. Polls conducted early in an election season should be taken as snapshots in time, and obviously cannot capture the impact of the campaign and events to come. This publication examines presidential election polls conducted well in advance of the election and attempts to gauge how predictive they are:

These publications provide a few tips to help in reading polls and deciding how much weight to give them:

via Gauging the Accuracy of Election Polls | Pew Research Center for the People and the Press.

Other Posters were rated on the Margin of the win, not the actual numbers. Here is a report that shows the most accurate by margin in 2004 and 2008. In this article, TIPP/IBD was claimed the winner. Additionally, in this measure of margin accuracy, the top pollsters in 2004 were TIPP, CBS, Pew and Rasmussen. Worst pollsters were Battleground, Fox News, and Marist. In 2008 the top pollsters were TIPP, Fix and 2 others. Worst: Battleground and Zogby.

TIPP accuracy in 2008

Pollster Accuracy in the National Polls – Pollster.com

If we are going to try to compare pollsters, the wisest thing to do is to measure accuracy across as many polls as possible, because the role of random chance will gradually diminish as the number of polls examined increases.

Unfortunately, that observation is not stopping a lot of reporters and observers from scanning the final national polls and trying to identify winners and losers. So before moving on to more elaborate aggregations, let’s look at the list the final national poll conducted by 19 different organizations over the final week of the campaign. Looking first at the final survey results (as opposed to “projections” that allocated the undecided), we see that all of the polls had Obama leading by margins of 5 to 11 percentage points. A straight average of these surveys shows Obama leading by 7.6% (51.4% to 43.8% ).

081112 final polls

How did these polls compare to the actual results? First, let’s keep in mind that provisional and late arriving mail-in ballots are still being counted in some places (and may not be reflected in the “99% of precincts counted” statistics typically provided by the Associated Press). The most current and complete national count I can find now shows Obama with a 6.6% lead in the national popular vote (52.7% to 46.1%). Obama’s margin has increased by about a half a percentage point over the last week and (if the pattern in 2004 is a guide) may increase slightly more as secretaries of state release their final certified results.

via Pollster.com – Political Surveys and Election Polls, Trends, Charts and Analysis.

Hopefully these presentations from multiple sources will give you some insight into which polls you should pay attention to and which ones you may dismiss. While the media seems to grab their favorite polls that Present their desired outcome, you now have in your hand some data that will help you grasp the total view of the 2012 Presidential election.

We will begin our Politisite Political Projections for the election after the October 3rd Presidential Debate. We notice that pollsters get a bit more accurate one month before the election and most people make their decisions for November.

 

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Latest Political Polls – 2012 President – Romney 46%, Obama 44%, Other 4% | Politisite

The first presidential tracking poll with likely voters (LV) following the Supreme Court Decision shows show Mitt Romney with a slight lead over President Obama.  This poll also has four percent going to a third party candidate with five percent undecided .

Rasmussen continues to be the most accurate Presidential tracking poll based on final results of the last two elections.

The Real Clear Politics Average has President Obama leading by 3.4% which is in the Margin of error of most polls listed.

via Latest Political Polls – 2012 President – Romney 46%, Obama 44%, Other 4% | Politisite.

White House Correspondents’ Dinner guest list #NERDPROM #WHCD

Twitter Hashtag for the White House Correspondents Dinner is #NerdProm #WHCD

Read the rest at POLITISITE